Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.130 | $64.5 | +$25.5 |
 Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.981 | $29.43 | 14d ago |
 |
| No |
| 25 |
| $0.975 |
| $24.39 |
| +$0.01 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 24 | $0.983 | $23.6 | +$0.01 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 23.5 | $0.920 | $21.74 | +$0.12 |
| Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027? | No | 22 | $0.979 | $21.69 | +$0.15 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 884.31 | $0.032 | $9.73 | -$18.22 |
 Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | No | 4.86 | $0.972 | $4.73 | +$0 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $3.85 | -$5.15 |
| buy |
| 59.11 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.24 |
| 22d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 33 | $0.840 | $27.72 | 22d ago |
 Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | buy | 31 | $0.966 | $29.95 | 27d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 16?No | buy | 9 | $0.990 | $8.91 | 28d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.037 | $7.4 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 142.96 | $0.032 | $4.57 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 22 | $0.979 | $21.54 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?No | buy | 31 | $0.988 | $30.63 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.994 | $42.74 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 133.99 | $0.146 | $19.55 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.999 | $59.94 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.992 | $49.6 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?No | sell | 39.6 | $0.965 | $38.21 | May 10, 2026 |
 Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 52 | $0.980 | $50.96 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.995 | $48.76 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.680 | $29.92 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 46 | $0.974 | $44.8 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.985 | $44.33 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | sell | 75 | $0.999 | $74.93 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 59.98 | $0.998 | $59.86 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Blues vs. DucksBlues | buy | 80 | $0.990 | $79.2 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona DiamondbacksAtlanta Braves | buy | 79.66 | $0.930 | $74.09 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 89.74 | $0.980 | $87.95 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 79.95 | $0.996 | $79.63 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11PM ETDown | sell | 70 | $0.999 | $69.93 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown | buy | 89.61 | $0.970 | $86.92 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?No | sell | 56 | $0.999 | $55.94 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 9.02 | $0.998 | $9 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - March 27, 12AM ETDown | sell | 12.83 | $0.999 | $12.82 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston CougarsIllinois Fighting Illini | buy | 54.93 | $0.962 | $52.84 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETUp | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 27?No | sell | 35 | $0.999 | $34.97 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jannik SinnerJannik Sinner | sell | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jannik SinnerJannik Sinner | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp | sell | 50.99 | $0.999 | $50.94 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 51 | $0.990 | $50.49 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 26, 5AM ETDown | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.870 | $34.8 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 7AM ETUp | sell | 49.95 | $0.250 | $12.49 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 7AM ETUp | buy | 49.92 | $0.939 | $46.87 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 49.99 | $0.980 | $48.99 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Oilers vs. UtahOilers | sell | 52 | $0.900 | $46.8 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 22.84 | $0.947 | $21.63 | Mar 24, 2026 |