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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | Yes | 93.48 | $0.214 | $8.41 | -$11.59 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 454.54 | $0.120 | $54.54 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 63.37 |
| $0.867 |
| $54.94 |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 326.09 | $0.920 | $300 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 GPT ads by March 31?Yes | sell | 85.85 | $0.955 | $81.99 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 129.87 | $0.630 | $81.82 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| GPT ads by March 31?Yes | buy | 85.86 | $0.582 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.110 | $50 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | buy | 136.33 | $0.073 | $10 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 39.62 | $0.981 | $38.87 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | sell | 126.21 | $0.610 | $76.99 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 194.7 | $0.257 | $50 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 63.37 | $0.789 | $50 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.580 | $50 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 39.62 | $0.505 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes | buy | 93.48 | $0.214 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | sell | 159.39 | $0.370 | $58.97 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 81.96 | $0.996 | $81.63 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 106.18 | $0.997 | $105.86 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 247.09 | $0.405 | $100 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No | buy | 86.67 | $0.577 | $50 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 81.97 | $0.610 | $50 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | buy | 126.21 | $0.396 | $50 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 30?No | buy | 81.3 | $0.615 | $50 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| No airdrop in 2025?Yes | sell | 466.77 | $0.280 | $130.66 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | sell | 82.43 | $0.790 | $65.12 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 113.21 | $0.088 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 82.43 | $0.607 | $50 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will the AAVE token alignment proposal pass?No | sell | 318.25 | $0.999 | $317.93 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| No airdrop in 2025?Yes | buy | 466.78 | $0.107 | $50 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 159.39 | $0.627 | $100 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 23?Up | sell | 66.85 | $0.999 | $66.78 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 106.19 | $0.942 | $100 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the AAVE token alignment proposal pass?No | buy | 318.25 | $0.943 | $300 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 23?Up | buy | 66.85 | $0.748 | $50 | Dec 23, 2025 |