Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.72 |
| $0.580 |
| $1 |
| Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.930 | $1.08 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.430 | $1.13 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.39 | $0.830 | $1.98 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.420 | $4.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 151.52 | $0.060 | $9.09 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETDown | buy | 9.05 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?No | sell | 4.56 | $0.741 | $3.38 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?No | sell | 12.98 | $0.791 | $10.27 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.033 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | sell | 3.08 | $0.810 | $2.49 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp | buy | 3.05 | $0.320 | $0.98 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETDown | buy | 2.07 | $0.469 | $0.97 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 2.77 | $0.800 | $2.22 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.077 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?No | buy | 4.57 | $0.219 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will "CarPlay" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Angela" or "Merkel" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 2?Yes | buy | 55.26 | $0.018 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?Yes | buy | 11.61 | $0.086 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 4.65 | $0.999 | $4.65 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETUp | buy | 5.82 | $0.170 | $0.99 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.46 | $0.560 | $1.94 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 2.26 | $0.430 | $0.97 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 8.29 | $0.120 | $0.99 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 4.47 | $0.940 | $4.2 | Feb 11, 2026 |