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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.68K | $0.560 | $1.3K | -$200.89 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 523.55 | $0.143 | $74.99 | 26d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.3K |
| $0.545 |
| $1.2K |
| +$497.67 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 1.26K | $0.564 | $1.09K | +$379 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1K | $0.700 | $790 | +$90 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 851.14 | $0.719 | $727.72 | +$115.79 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 1.32K | $0.372 | $690.79 | +$201.42 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 2.12K | $0.330 | $668.18 | -$31.82 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 732.12 | $0.760 | $662.57 | +$106.16 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.570 | $652.63 | -$147.37 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 663.06 | $0.740 | $613.33 | +$122.92 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 705.88 | $0.850 | $610.59 | +$10.59 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 666.67 | $0.600 | $570 | +$170 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 636.14 | $0.662 | $550.26 | +$129.24 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 2.6K | $0.187 | $506.17 | +$20.45 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 323.62 | $0.927 | $319.9 | +$19.9 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 555.55 | $0.630 | $291.66 | -$58.33 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 335.57 | $0.745 | $286.07 | +$36.07 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 543.48 | $0.368 | $248.1 | +$48.1 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1.32K | $0.286 | $178.52 | -$198.29 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 228.11 | $0.356 | $160.82 | +$79.63 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 151.24 | $0.799 | $134.23 | +$13.39 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 754.34 | $0.382 | $91.28 | -$196.88 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 112.36 | $0.890 | $66.85 | -$33.15 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 262.72 | $0.570 | $64.37 | -$85.33 |
| sell |
| 759 |
| $0.472 |
| $358.02 |
| 26d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 899.03 | $0.282 | $253.51 | 26d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | sell | 599.7 | $0.854 | $512.13 | 26d ago |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 598.82 | $0.910 | $544.93 | 26d ago |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 256.75 | $0.145 | $37.23 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | sell | 43 | $0.500 | $21.5 | 26d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 147.76 | $0.300 | $44.33 | 26d ago |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 69.66 | $0.920 | $64.09 | 26d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.910 | $917.87 | 26d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 864.2 | $0.810 | $700 | 26d ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 1.25K | $0.800 | $1K | 26d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.820 | $1.3K | 26d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.04K | $0.540 | $1.1K | 26d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.68K | $0.859 | $2.3K | 26d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.570 | $799.7 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 909.08 | $0.431 | $391.85 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 555.55 | $0.630 | $350 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 284.08 | $0.880 | $249.99 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 619.58 | $0.798 | $494.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No | buy | 285.7 | $0.700 | $199.9 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.600 | $400 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 1.83K | $0.214 | $393.35 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.600 | $999.75 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 2.23K | $0.448 | $1K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.32K | $0.372 | $489.37 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.68K | $0.560 | $1.5K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.39K | $0.779 | $1.86K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.870 | $877.83 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.33K | $0.890 | $1.19K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.66K | $0.760 | $2.02K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 400 | $0.750 | $300 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | sell | 1.57K | $0.040 | $62.75 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under | sell | 322.58 | $0.350 | $112.9 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.510 | $800 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 322.58 | $0.471 | $151.96 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 370.37 | $0.540 | $200 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States | buy | 925.93 | $0.540 | $500 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePortugal | buy | 1.47K | $0.340 | $500 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 425.53 | $0.470 | $200 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?No | sell | 312.5 | $0.530 | $165.63 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 659.34 | $0.910 | $600 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.760 | $800 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 215.05 | $0.940 | $202.15 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 2.44K | $0.930 | $2.27K | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.071 | $135.24 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.72K | $0.089 | $153.88 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Yes | sell | 1.27K | $0.013 | $16.43 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?Yes | sell | 3.33K | $0.004 | $13.33 | Jul 3, 2026 |