Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.100 | $65 | -$35 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 702.38 |
| $0.149 |
| $35.47 |
| -$69.53 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 188.22 | $0.266 | $34.07 | -$15.93 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 197.63 | $0.253 | $28.16 | -$21.84 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 226.85 | $0.264 | $14.75 | -$45.25 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 96.16 | $0.520 | $6.25 | -$43.75 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.5 | $0.317 | $2.05 | -$7.95 |
| buy |
| 37.31 |
| $0.268 |
| $10 |
| Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Putin visit China by May 31?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.5 | $0.317 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.78 | $0.223 | $5.52 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.740 | $16.81 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.78 | $0.404 | $10 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 72.46 | $0.987 | $71.52 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.143 | $23.86 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.270 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.013 | $4.06 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 96.15 | $0.430 | $41.34 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?Yes | buy | 52.17 | $0.192 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.56 | $0.330 | $20 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | sell | 31.88 | $0.990 | $31.56 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 31.52 | $0.310 | $9.77 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.76 | $0.197 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 288.09 | $0.174 | $50 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.57 | $0.056 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETUp | buy | 39.3 | $0.250 | $9.82 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETUp | buy | 23.16 | $0.419 | $9.7 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 188.22 | $0.266 | $50 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)Yes | buy | 31.7 | $0.631 | $20 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 93.35 | $0.107 | $10 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 197.63 | $0.253 | $50 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 244.24 | $0.409 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes | buy | 214.68 | $0.466 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?Up | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Yes | buy | 193.58 | $0.517 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |