Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 27.78 |
| $0.180 |
| $5 |
| Nov 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Colts vs. ChiefsColts | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Megaquake by December 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?Yes | buy | 256.2 | $0.039 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 177.03 | $0.079 | $14 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 699.97 | $0.071 | $50 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.250 | $45 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 469.24 | $0.021 | $10 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 117.69 | $0.255 | $30 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.045 | $46.17 | Dec 11, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Sep 17, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 49.76 | $0.201 | $10 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Monkeypox" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.058 | $2 | Aug 19, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Jew" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Aug 19, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Aug 19, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Unburdened" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Aug 19, 2024 |
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.066 | $15 | Aug 15, 2024 |
 Will Elon blame a foreign actor for Twitter crash?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.180 | $30 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Civil war" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 80.32 | $0.623 | $50 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 Olympic Basketball: USA vs. SerbiaSerbia | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Aug 8, 2024 |
 China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.133 | $20 | Aug 7, 2024 |