Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.470 | $1.04 | 26d ago |
|
| buy |
| 2.22 |
| $0.450 |
| $1 |
| 26d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.570 | $0.87 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.400 | $0.83 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.230 | $0.82 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.100 | $0.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.120 | $0.96 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.210 | $0.91 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.360 | $0.92 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.640 | $1.04 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.130 | $0.91 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.130 | $0.68 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.190 | $1.52 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.630 | $0.95 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.330 | $0.91 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.120 | $0.96 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.220 | $0.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.330 | $0.89 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.310 | $0.97 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.32 | $0.440 | $1.02 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.360 | $0.78 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.310 | $0.86 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.620 | $1.55 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.370 | $0.75 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Yes | sell | 30.14 | $0.120 | $3.62 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |