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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | No | 625 | $0.960 | $596.88 | -$3.13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 625 | $0.960 | $600 | 15h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.88K |
| $0.313 |
| $422.78 |
| -$167.21 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 865.76 | $0.699 | $411.24 | -$193.76 |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 424.37 | $0.961 | $399.34 | -$8.67 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 454.55 | $0.880 | $356.82 | -$43.18 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 89.89 | $0.382 | $23.82 | -$10.55 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 27.78 | $0.720 | $23.06 | +$3.06 |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 414.4 | $0.181 | $19.68 | -$55.32 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 85.71 | $0.117 | $5.57 | -$4.43 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 456.51 | $0.022 | $5.48 | -$4.52 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 7.06 | $0.590 | $5.19 | +$1.02 |
 Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | Yes | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $4.95 | -$0.05 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 10.42 | $0.480 | $4.74 | -$0.26 |
 Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 14.45 | $0.346 | $3.66 | -$1.34 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 10.42 | $0.480 | $3.07 | -$1.93 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.240 | $1.98 | -$3.02 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.130 | $1.87 | -$3.13 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.240 | $1.08 | -$2.92 |
| sell |
| 199.7 |
| $0.938 |
| $187.28 |
| 17h ago |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 414.62 | $0.979 | $405.98 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | 14d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 624.07 | $0.961 | $600 | 16d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 414.26 | $0.965 | $399.94 | 16d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 857.14 | $0.700 | $600 | 17d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 416.66 | $0.980 | $408.31 | 17d ago |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 414.62 | $0.965 | $400 | 17d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.880 | $400 | 17d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 414.26 | $0.966 | $400 | 17d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in August?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.915 | $5 | 17d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.857 | $5 | 17d ago |
| Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | 17d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 151.52 | $0.963 | $145.91 | 18d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 634.99 | $0.960 | $609.6 | 18d ago |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 68.62 | $0.073 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 19.05 | $0.700 | $13.33 | 18d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 634.99 | $0.630 | $400 | 19d ago |
 Will XRP reach $1.20 in August?No | sell | 103.67 | $0.307 | $31.78 | 19d ago |
| Will XRP reach $1.20 in August?No | sell | 103.66 | $0.541 | $56.13 | 20d ago |
 Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Yes | sell | 204.49 | $0.999 | $204.29 | 21d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 17-23?No | buy | 416.21 | $0.961 | $400 | 21d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 416.67 | $0.960 | $400 | 21d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 48.2 | $0.207 | $10 | 21d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.991 | $5.12 | 23d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 5.25 | $0.999 | $5.24 | 23d ago |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 31.51 | $0.229 | $7.22 | 23d ago |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 98.2 | $0.102 | $10 | 23d ago |
 Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 207.87 | $0.962 | $200 | 23d ago |
| Will XRP reach $1.20 in August?No | buy | 207.33 | $0.965 | $200 | 23d ago |
| Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Yes | buy | 204.5 | $0.978 | $200 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 151.51 | $0.850 | $128.78 | 23d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | 23d ago |
 Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 303.03 | $0.660 | $200 | 27d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 5.81 | $0.170 | $0.99 | 27d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 161.29 | $0.001 | $0.16 | 27d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 37.17 | $0.269 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.951 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 41.49 | $0.241 | $10 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 74.28 | $0.670 | $49.77 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jul 31, 2026 |