Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.93 | $0.112 | $0.34 | -$0.66 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.72K | $0.002 | $7.63 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 20.41 |
| $0.049 |
| $1 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes | buy | 32.38 | $0.031 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 137.25 | $0.007 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.033 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Greenland" during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 218.16 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 146.79 | $0.007 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 210.04 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 242.26 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | buy | 25.25 | $0.040 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 391.82 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.018 | $0.23 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 318.13 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 150.99 | $0.007 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 66.85 | $0.015 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 83.38 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 335.43 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.12 | $0.026 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 128.7 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 257.75 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 261.37 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 167.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 136.33 | $0.007 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 17, 2026 |