Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 240.96 | $0.830 | $222.89 | +$22.89 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | May 15, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 207.04 |
| $0.966 |
| $202.17 |
| +$2.17 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.963 | $98.35 | +$2.05 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 536.37 | $0.262 | $74.29 | -$66.24 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.042 | $1.66 | +$1.52 |
 Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.062 | $1.13 | +$0.92 |
 Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Yes | 2.2 | $0.090 | $0.23 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1.14 | $0.060 | $0.2 | +$0.13 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat? | No | 3.33 | $0.100 | $0.18 | -$0.15 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | Yes | 2.13 | $0.060 | $0.16 | +$0.04 |
 Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? | Yes | 1.05 | $0.050 | $0.16 | +$0.11 |
 Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.046 | $0.14 | -$0 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | Yes | 2 | $0.012 | $0.13 | +$0.1 |
 Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | Yes | 4 | $0.060 | $0.11 | -$0.13 |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 3.43 | $0.058 | $0.1 | -$0.1 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 3.65 | $0.090 | $0.09 | -$0.24 |
 Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | Yes | 1.07 | $0.070 | $0.08 | +$0 |
 Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.050 | $0.07 | -$0.03 |
 Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey before 2027? | Yes | 1.17 | $0.060 | $0.04 | -$0.03 |
 Tim Walz in jail by December 31? | Yes | 1.06 | $0.060 | $0.04 | -$0.03 |
 Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 0.78 | $0.090 | $0.03 | -$0.04 |
 Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026? | Yes | 3.04 | $0.012 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
 Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 0.6 | $0.070 | $0.01 | -$0.03 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1.01 | $0.005 | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%? | Yes | 2 | $0.009 | $0 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 207.04 |
| $0.966 |
| $200 |
| May 15, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 536.37 | $0.262 | $140.53 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.22 | $0.933 | $17 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.963 | $96.3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.370 | $111 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 40.52 | $0.999 | $40.48 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - February 27, 1AM ETDown | sell | 22.37 | $0.930 | $20.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 11PM ETUp | sell | 250 | $0.456 | $113.91 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - February 26, 11PM ETUp | sell | 96 | $0.842 | $80.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETDown | sell | 45 | $0.478 | $21.51 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - February 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown | sell | 17.72 | $0.250 | $4.43 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown | sell | 17 | $0.303 | $5.15 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown | sell | 25 | $0.470 | $11.75 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown | sell | 30 | $0.618 | $18.55 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown | sell | 700 | $0.990 | $693 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 26, 2PM ETDown | sell | 75 | $0.210 | $15.75 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 12PM ETUp | sell | 275 | $0.987 | $271.45 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 26, 12PM ETUp | sell | 28.98 | $0.400 | $11.59 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | buy | 199.99 | $0.010 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 6AM ETUp | sell | 49.99 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12AM ETDown | sell | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 11PM ETDown | sell | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9PM ETDown | sell | 81 | $0.260 | $21.06 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11AM ETDown | sell | 150 | $0.120 | $18 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 5AM ETUp | sell | 71 | $0.260 | $18.46 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1AM ETUp | sell | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.07 | $0.015 | $0.06 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.15 | $0.037 | $0.15 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Sidney Moore be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?Yes | sell | 4.15 | $0.001 | $0 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.050 | $0.22 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 4.99 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Tom Leonard win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Matt Strickler be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.006 | $0.03 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Kim Eun-hye win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Karla Wagner win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 5.09 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?No | sell | 6.95 | $0.034 | $0.24 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.090 | $0.6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Keith Powers be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes | sell | 7.34 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Orrick Quick be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?Yes | sell | 7.01 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?Yes | sell | 7.34 | $0.140 | $1.03 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 7.64 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 7.56 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Alejandro Mostajo Rueda win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 7.98 | $0.014 | $0.11 | Feb 23, 2026 |