Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.920 | $19.81 | +$1.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dogecoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.960 |
| $19.46 |
| +$0.26 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10.89 | +$0.89 |
 Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | No | 9.56 | $0.523 | $6.45 | +$1.45 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.160 | $4.53 | -$0.47 |
 Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 5 | $0.650 | $2.8 | -$0.45 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | No | 50 | $0.200 | $2.43 | -$7.58 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.9 | $0.155 | $1.63 | -$0.37 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
 Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
 Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 8.08 | $0.124 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 75.92 | $0.066 | $1.02 | -$3.98 |
 Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 11.98 | $0.167 | $0.92 | -$1.08 |
 Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.090 | $0.91 | -$1.09 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.220 | $0.77 | -$1.23 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.040 |
| $1 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 75.92 | $0.066 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?No | buy | 45.71 | $0.875 | $40 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 32.97 | $0.910 | $30 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 13.72 | $0.729 | $10 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes | buy | 180.94 | $0.276 | $50 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.08 | $0.124 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 10.79 | $0.927 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 14.53 | $0.344 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.019 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.078 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 32.61 | $0.920 | $30 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Jun 1, 2026 |