Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.955 | $2.76 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.11 |
| $0.991 |
| $1.1 |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will "The Grinch" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)No | buy | 1.12 | $0.995 | $1.11 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | sell | 1.59 | $0.860 | $1.37 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.870 | $1.39 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.820 | $1.11 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.910 | $1.12 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.900 | $1.11 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.57 | $0.670 | $1.05 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.890 | $1.4 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.900 | $1.09 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.950 | $1.15 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.983 | $1.06 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by November 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.988 | $1.09 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | sell | 2.46 | $0.986 | $2.43 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.929 | $1.01 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 5.51 | $0.843 | $4.64 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.888 | $4.9 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.850 | $1.03 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's trap video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.895 | $1.29 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.850 | $1.8 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Michael Flynn be next National Security Advisor?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.872 | $1.18 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.987 | $1.02 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Highest 2 Lowest win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.982 | $1.21 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Highest 2 Lowest win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.992 | $1.23 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Michael Flynn be next National Security Advisor?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.950 | $1.29 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.920 | $1.27 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 1.45 | $0.841 | $1.22 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $126K on August 18?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.940 | $1.06 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago Sky win the 2025 WNBA Championship?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.999 | $10.2 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.960 | $1.11 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 3.16 | $0.830 | $2.62 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.960 | $2.37 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.995 | $1.15 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.830 | $1.01 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Syria strikes Israel by July 31?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.960 | $1.24 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3400 July 14–20?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.880 | $1.15 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.998 | $1.27 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.986 | $1.26 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.970 | $1.13 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.330 | $0.39 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.890 | $1.06 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | sell | 0.38 | $0.890 | $0.34 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 FIFA Club World Cup: 150+ Goals Scored?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.974 | $1.17 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.965 | $1.27 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.959 | $1.27 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.870 | $1.45 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.890 | $1.49 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.974 | $1.01 | Jun 10, 2025 |