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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1.58K | $0.317 | $97.96 | -$402.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.36K | $0.293 | $2.15K | Apr 8, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 426.93 |
| $0.234 |
| $55.5 |
| -$44.5 |
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 465.91 | $0.215 | $9.78 | -$90.22 |
| sell |
| 444.44 |
| $0.920 |
| $408.88 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.450 | $200 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 1.45K | $0.696 | $1.01K | Apr 7, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.48K | $0.617 | $4K | Apr 7, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 4.32K | $0.996 | $4.3K | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.439 | $764.1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 877.19 | $0.570 | $500 | Apr 6, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.94K | $0.680 | $2K | Apr 2, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.580 | $800 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 625 | $0.640 | $400 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 1.44K | $0.791 | $1.14K | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.879 | $1K | Mar 26, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 256.93 | $0.480 | $123.33 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.998 | $1.15K | Mar 24, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 1.45K | $0.690 | $1K | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | sell | 724.63 | $0.812 | $588.17 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 724.64 | $0.690 | $500 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 571.43 | $0.350 | $200 | Mar 12, 2026 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | buy | 426.93 | $0.234 | $100 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.770 | $1K | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 806.45 | $0.620 | $500 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 339.03 | $0.211 | $71.47 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 5.34K | $0.168 | $900 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 625.31 | $0.160 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.695 | $1K | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | sell | 691.84 | $0.997 | $689.76 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.870 | $1K | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 339.02 | $0.400 | $135.61 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | sell | 701.84 | $0.466 | $327.22 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.718 | $1K | Mar 1, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 256.93 | $0.778 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.961 | $2K | Feb 28, 2026 |
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.935 | $1K | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 678.05 | $0.590 | $400 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.74K | $0.730 | $2K | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?Yes | sell | 347.18 | $0.023 | $7.99 | Feb 26, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.95K | $0.080 | $315.85 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 347.19 | $0.288 | $100 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 404.04 | $0.297 | $120 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 465.91 | $0.215 | $100 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 569.84 | $0.316 | $180.25 | Feb 2, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.350 | $479.29 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.018 | $100 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 606.18 | $0.330 | $200 | Jan 31, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 470.59 | $0.850 | $400 | Jan 30, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.58K | $0.582 | $1.5K | Jan 30, 2026 |
Negative GDP growth in 2025?Yes | sell | 872.82 | $0.002 | $1.67 | Jan 30, 2026 |