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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 111.11 | $0.180 | $89.44 | +$69.44 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 63.48 | $0.210 | $13.33 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 83.68 |
| $0.239 |
| $37.95 |
| +$17.95 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 186.87 | $0.107 | $35.04 | +$15.04 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 35.71 | $0.560 | $30.54 | +$10.54 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 32.79 | $0.610 | $28.36 | +$8.36 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.580 | $25.69 | +$5.69 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | 27.16 | $0.736 | $24.72 | +$4.72 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100.5 | $0.199 | $24.17 | +$4.17 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 46.51 | $0.430 | $23.49 | +$3.49 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.440 | $22.95 | +$2.95 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 45.45 | $0.440 | $22.5 | +$2.5 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 22.73 | $0.880 | $21.7 | +$1.7 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 22.99 | $0.870 | $21.26 | +$1.26 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 24.1 | $0.830 | $21.08 | +$1.08 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20.71 | +$0.71 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 24.33 | $0.822 | $20.64 | +$0.64 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 92.17 | $0.217 | $18.57 | -$1.43 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 51.28 | $0.390 | $18.21 | -$1.79 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 98.04 | $0.204 | $16.52 | -$3.48 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 33.98 | $0.589 | $16.48 | -$3.52 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 97.56 | $0.205 | $14.1 | -$5.9 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.300 | $13.67 | -$6.33 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.140 | $12.86 | -$7.14 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.06 | $0.399 | $12.59 | +$2.59 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 163.93 | $0.122 | $11.97 | -$8.03 |
| buy |
| 15.59 |
| $0.490 |
| $7.64 |
| Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.110 | $7.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 133.67 | $0.150 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 81.64 | $0.245 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes | buy | 68.37 | $0.293 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 98.04 | $0.204 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.122 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 186.87 | $0.107 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 40.9 | $0.489 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.240 | $9.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 24.33 | $0.822 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.16 | $0.736 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | buy | 33.35 | $0.600 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 25.06 | $0.399 | $10 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 33.98 | $0.589 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 92.17 | $0.217 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 83.68 | $0.239 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100.5 | $0.199 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 97.56 | $0.205 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | buy | 42.92 | $0.357 | $15.3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Jun 30, 2026 |