Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | No | 50.08 | $0.670 | $48.42 | +$14.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.791 | $0.29 | Jul 12, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.130 |
| $2.01 |
| -$0.59 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.213 | $1.35 | -$9.33 |
| sell |
| 35 |
| $0.180 |
| $6.3 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes | sell | 6.77 | $0.900 | $6.09 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.147 | $147 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 865 | $0.017 | $14.71 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 865 | $0.048 | $41.52 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 865 | $0.055 | $47.58 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 865 | $0.128 | $110.72 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 865 | $0.139 | $120.24 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 864.99 | $0.193 | $166.94 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.965 | $0.43 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No | sell | 100 | $0.005 | $0.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.033 | $0.01 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.24 | $0.825 | $0.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?No | sell | 50 | $0.984 | $49.19 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.012 | $0.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | May 31, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.006 | $0.16 | May 31, 2026 |
 Trump on $250 bill this year?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.720 | $28.8 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.270 | $10.8 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.991 | $198.2 | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | May 27, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.710 | $142 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.891 | $44.54 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?Yes | sell | 99.9 | $0.070 | $6.99 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | May 15, 2026 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison?No | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | May 12, 2026 |
 New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes | sell | 49.9 | $0.390 | $19.46 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No | sell | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | May 9, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 8?No | sell | 50 | $0.982 | $49.1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.016 | $0.8 | May 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | May 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.83 | $0.058 | $2.14 | May 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.900 | $81 | May 2, 2026 |