Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | No | 20.78K | $0.991 | $20.69K | +$113.81 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.997 | $1.69K | 11d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.76K |
| $0.633 |
| $6.52K |
| +$980.57 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.55K | $0.965 | $6.38K | +$56.64 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.99K | $0.990 | $5.97K | +$38.94 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.77K | $0.440 | $3.61K | +$193.7 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3K | $0.313 | $1.6K | +$664.68 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 600 | $0.980 | $593.1 | +$5.1 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 421.47 | $0.965 | $411.77 | +$5.06 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.140 | $198 | +$156 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 277.35 | $0.910 | $166.13 | -$86.26 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 100.12 | $0.840 | $20.02 | -$64.08 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 22.95 | $0.770 | $15.49 | -$2.18 |
| sell |
| 12.5K |
| $0.999 |
| $12.49K |
| 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.26K | $0.983 | $3.2K | 12d ago |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.86 | $0.870 | $51.21 | 15d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.994 | $3.98K | 16d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 122.76 | $0.994 | $122.02 | 20d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | 26d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 44.28 | $0.903 | $40 | 27d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.377 | $37.69 | 27d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?No | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | 27d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | 27d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.973 | $2.92K | 28d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6K | $0.990 | $5.94K | 28d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.990 | $2.18K | 28d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.59K | $0.990 | $2.56K | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.910 | $60.97 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 291.32 | $0.990 | $288.41 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.993 | $1.18K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.94 | $0.400 | $5.18 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 97.69 | $0.420 | $41.03 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | sell | 303.51 | $0.820 | $248.92 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.037 | $370.3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 362.84 | $0.540 | $195.93 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 144.52 | $0.178 | $25.72 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.183 | $38.43 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 6.25K | $0.968 | $6.05K | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.36K | $0.820 | $4.39K | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 6.77K | $0.977 | $6.61K | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 6.77K | $0.976 | $6.61K | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10.21K | $0.970 | $9.9K | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 353.18 | $0.963 | $340 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 19.67K | $0.966 | $19K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 4.08K | $0.965 | $3.94K | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.023 | $46 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 602.09 | $0.998 | $600.89 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | buy | 600.96 | $0.832 | $500 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.001 | $15 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.41K | $0.997 | $2.4K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.37K | $0.997 | $3.36K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?No | buy | 12.37K | $0.976 | $12.07K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.74K | $0.920 | $1.6K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 500 | $0.370 | $185 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.013 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.340 | $204 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No | sell | 706.5 | $0.869 | $613.9 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.957 | $11 | May 30, 2026 |