Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 70 | $0.460 | $52.15 | +$19.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.099 | $9.9 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 150 |
| $0.162 |
| $6.68 |
| -$17.7 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.150 | $6.5 | -$8.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 20.01 | $0.600 | $1.5 | -$10.5 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 69.84 | $0.050 | $0.38 | -$3.11 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 19.99 | $0.330 | $0.09 | -$6.51 |
| buy |
| 56.78 |
| $0.330 |
| $18.74 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown | sell | 10 | $0.571 | $5.71 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.391 | $7.82 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.140 | $9.8 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 164.23 | $0.070 | $11.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.600 | $24 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?Yes | sell | 5.79 | $0.530 | $3.07 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.175 | $26.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.370 | $28.86 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes | buy | 21.77 | $0.260 | $5.66 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "President Xi" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 118.51 | $0.019 | $2.25 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.009 | $0.09 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes | sell | 13.96 | $0.016 | $0.22 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.044 | $8.8 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.007 | $1.11 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 250 | $0.050 | $12.5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 822.68 | $0.003 | $2.47 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?No | buy | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 786.09 | $0.011 | $8.65 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.030 | $6 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.27K | $0.008 | $10.18 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 837.34 | $0.014 | $11.72 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.060 | $9 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.968 | $9.68 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionYes | buy | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.943 | $56.58 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?No | buy | 20 | $0.956 | $19.12 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No | buy | 30 | $0.423 | $12.69 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.994 | $59.64 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.949 | $47.45 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.380 | $13.3 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will VVD win 18 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | sell | 10.01 | $0.200 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.020 | $0.05 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Sep 28, 2025 |