Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.25 |
| $0.770 |
| $0.96 |
| Apr 19, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.610 | $1.27 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.870 | $1.17 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.560 | $1.16 | Mar 21, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?Up | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?Up | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.800 | $1.3 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?Up | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.430 | $0.95 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.720 | $1.12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.610 | $0.92 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.260 | $0.81 | Jan 17, 2026 |
ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.230 | $0.56 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.230 | $0.37 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.580 | $1.93 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 3.84 | $0.240 | $0.92 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | sell | 1.18 | $0.928 | $1.1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.845 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.080 | $0.5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.430 | $0.81 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.700 | $0.98 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.964 | $1.23 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.932 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.921 | $1 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Sep 30, 2025 |
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |