Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | -$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | 2d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 2.83 |
| $0.970 |
| $2.75 |
| 2d ago |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.961 | $2.72 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.911 | $1.88 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No | sell | 3.62 | $0.966 | $3.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.948 | $3.44 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 12?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.993 | $1.8 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will David Choquehuanca be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | sell | 3.76 | $0.998 | $3.75 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will David Choquehuanca be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.998 | $3.76 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?No | sell | 3.92 | $0.958 | $3.76 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?No | buy | 3.93 | $0.968 | $3.8 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on March 16?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.997 | $3.79 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on February 23?No | buy | 3.79 | $0.998 | $3.78 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?No | sell | 3.85 | $0.983 | $3.78 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.987 | $3.8 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Jimmy Lai released by January 31?No | sell | 3.83 | $0.993 | $3.8 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Jimmy Lai released by January 31?No | buy | 3.83 | $0.991 | $3.8 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.992 | $3.77 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on December 8?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.998 | $3.76 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?No | sell | 3.79 | $0.993 | $3.76 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?No | buy | 3.79 | $0.992 | $3.76 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 3.9 | $0.964 | $3.76 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.966 | $3.77 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.937 | $3.53 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on October 30?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.998 | $3.52 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?No | sell | 3.58 | $0.984 | $3.52 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?No | buy | 3.58 | $0.988 | $3.54 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be less than $2.00 on October 18?No | buy | 3.54 | $0.995 | $3.52 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.52 | $0.950 | $3.34 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 2025 February hottest on record?No | buy | 3.35 | $0.992 | $3.32 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.981 | $3.26 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.997 | $4.1 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 4.78 | $0.963 | $4.6 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.980 | $3.04 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?No | buy | 0.72 | $0.930 | $0.67 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 State wide recount in Presidential Election?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.999 | $3.19 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Russian nuke in space in 2024?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.990 | $3.02 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.998 | $2.61 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Mystery drones shot down by Friday?No | buy | 3.38 | $0.978 | $3.31 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 29.74K | $0.001 | $29.74 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?Yes | buy | 29.74K | $0.001 | $29.74 | Dec 16, 2024 |