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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 110.01 | $0.358 | $55.28 | +$15.88 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 249.7 | $0.810 | $202.26 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 52.15 |
| $0.714 |
| $44.59 |
| +$7.35 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 33.33 | $0.280 | $23.33 | +$13.98 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 23.56 | $0.490 | $20.62 | +$9.07 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 234.36 | $0.114 | $12.89 | -$13.78 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 12.99 | $0.750 | $12.82 | +$3.08 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 37.91 | $0.390 | $11.94 | -$2.83 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.? | Yes | 86.54 | $0.259 | $11.68 | -$10.74 |
 Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 11.63 | $0.842 | $11.32 | +$1.52 |
 Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 11.49 | $0.860 | $11.11 | +$1.22 |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | Yes | 158 | $0.120 | $11.06 | -$7.9 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 11.32 | $0.530 | $10.71 | +$4.71 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 13.49 | $0.470 | $10.59 | +$4.25 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 25 | $0.240 | $9.88 | +$3.88 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 12.5 | $0.790 | $8.88 | -$1 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 10.11 | $0.540 | $8.75 | +$3.29 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 8.27 | $0.880 | $8.05 | +$0.77 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 8 | $0.900 | $7.76 | +$0.56 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 7.69 | $0.710 | $7.68 | +$2.22 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 8 | $0.740 | $7.64 | +$1.72 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 7.91 | $0.910 | $7.58 | +$0.38 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 8.47 | $0.850 | $7.41 | +$0.21 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 15.17 | $0.470 | $7.36 | +$0.23 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 7.41 | $0.800 | $7.29 | +$1.36 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 6.9 | $0.860 | $6.45 | +$0.52 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.850 |
| $4.25 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.69 | $0.120 | $9.44 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 136.71 | $0.060 | $8.2 | May 31, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.41 | $0.717 | $31.11 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 36.32 | $0.580 | $21.07 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 44.85 | $0.258 | $11.55 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.9 | $0.090 | $8.9 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.070 | $8.47 | May 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 37.61 | $0.370 | $13.92 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 371.2 | $0.140 | $51.97 | May 30, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 699.1 | $0.100 | $69.91 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 53.57 | $0.790 | $42.32 | May 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 57.79 | $0.180 | $10.4 | May 27, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 78.69 | $0.120 | $9.44 | May 27, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 50.17 | $0.220 | $11.04 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | buy | 41.42 | $0.299 | $12.38 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.25 | $0.110 | $9.27 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 136.13 | $0.057 | $7.74 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 36.88 | $0.400 | $14.75 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 38.53 | $0.351 | $13.52 | May 22, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 84.25 | $0.110 | $9.27 | May 22, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 36.88 | $0.390 | $14.38 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 124.06 | $0.150 | $18.61 | May 20, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 69.8 | $0.370 | $25.83 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.110 | $17.38 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 71.48 | $0.362 | $25.88 | May 20, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 69.79 | $0.380 | $26.52 | May 20, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 138.57 | $0.130 | $18.01 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 999 | $0.061 | $60.57 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 170.45 | $0.100 | $17.04 | May 19, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.110 | $17.38 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 124.06 | $0.150 | $18.61 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 71.27 | $0.370 | $26.37 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.4 | $0.092 | $17 | May 19, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.110 | $17.38 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 124.06 | $0.150 | $18.61 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 71.27 | $0.370 | $26.37 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 203.78 | $0.088 | $17.94 | May 19, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 157.95 | $0.110 | $17.37 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 124.06 | $0.150 | $18.61 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 71.27 | $0.370 | $26.37 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 203.78 | $0.080 | $16.3 | May 19, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.110 | $17.38 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.720 | $30 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 7.4 | $0.870 | $6.44 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?Yes | sell | 123.1 | $0.140 | $17.23 | May 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 666.6 | $0.070 | $46.66 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?Yes | buy | 34.22 | $0.258 | $8.82 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?Yes | buy | 124.06 | $0.150 | $18.61 | May 18, 2026 |