Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | buy | 13.41 | $0.999 | $13.4 | 12d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 27.93 |
| $0.999 |
| $27.9 |
| Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?No | buy | 122.58 | $0.995 | $122 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | buy | 122.12 | $0.999 | $122 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No | buy | 122.07 | $0.983 | $120 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 119.24 | $0.998 | $119 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No | buy | 118.71 | $0.994 | $118 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 118.12 | $0.999 | $118 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No | buy | 117.83 | $0.942 | $111 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 111 | $0.982 | $109 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?No | buy | 109.11 | $0.999 | $109 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?No | buy | 109.32 | $0.988 | $108 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 105.32 | $0.997 | $105 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.994 | $1.5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 105.11 | $0.999 | $105 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 108.11 | $0.999 | $108 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 108.11 | $0.999 | $108 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 108.65 | $0.994 | $108 | May 1, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 80.11 | $0.986 | $78.99 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No | buy | 28.03 | $0.999 | $28 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 106.99 | $0.999 | $106.88 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 106.52 | $0.931 | $99.17 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 99.86 | $0.999 | $99.76 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No | buy | 99.27 | $0.997 | $98.97 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 99.09 | $0.999 | $98.99 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4?No | buy | 99.1 | $0.999 | $99 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 99.09 | $0.999 | $98.99 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No | buy | 94.09 | $0.999 | $94 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 94.09 | $0.999 | $94 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.960 | $1.5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 95.1 | $0.999 | $95 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.997 | $1.3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 75.3 | $0.996 | $75 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 13?No | buy | 90.18 | $0.998 | $90 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.909 | $1.3 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.949 | $1.4 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 93.09 | $0.999 | $93 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 95.1 | $0.999 | $95 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 95.66 | $0.993 | $95 | Mar 2, 2026 |