Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 575.89 | $0.026 | $14.11 | -$0.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 310.08 | $0.061 | $18.9 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 130 |
| $0.330 |
| $13 |
| -$29.9 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? | Yes | 89.02 | $0.247 | $11.35 | -$10.62 |
| sell |
| 41.66 |
| $0.690 |
| $28.75 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.88 | $0.099 | $0.09 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 524.99 | $0.101 | $52.79 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | sell | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?No | sell | 20 | $0.957 | $19.14 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.247 | $12.35 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.02 | $0.247 | $4.7 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.246 | $4.92 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.622 | $87.1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.962 | $48.08 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 95.37 | $0.300 | $28.61 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?No | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 331 | $0.120 | $39.72 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by January 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Grok 4.20 released by January 31?Yes | buy | 12.83 | $0.624 | $8 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.260 | $36.4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.220 | $40 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 21m?Yes | buy | 142.65 | $0.140 | $20 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 21m?Yes | buy | 18.3 | $0.120 | $2.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado handshake last 10–15 seconds?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.415 | $41.5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?No | buy | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.440 | $0.46 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 5?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.930 | $21.87 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 138.38 | $0.031 | $4.29 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 172.26 | $0.070 | $12.06 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $90 on December 5?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Over $10M committed to the Makina public sale?No | sell | 100 | $0.942 | $94.2 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?No | sell | 100 | $0.879 | $87.9 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Bryan Johnson say "Illegal" or "Experiment" while tripping balls?No | buy | 123.41 | $0.025 | $3.09 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.63 | $0.015 | $0.08 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 51.25 | $0.020 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 102.45 | $0.989 | $101.32 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 294.85 | $0.005 | $1.45 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.690 | $69 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.150 | $21.43 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Over $10M committed to the Makina public sale?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?No | sell | 528.42 | $0.040 | $21.39 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?No | buy | 528.42 | $0.038 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 130 | $0.657 | $85.43 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 106.49 | $0.972 | $103.55 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 210.52 | $0.450 | $94.73 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?No | buy | 32 | $0.320 | $10.24 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.900 | $4.73 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | sell | 22.47 | $0.900 | $20.22 | Nov 24, 2025 |