Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.986 | $1.57K | May 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 347.18 |
| $0.957 |
| $332.25 |
| May 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 398 | $0.640 | $254.72 | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 398 | $0.670 | $266.66 | May 7, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 199 | $0.860 | $171.14 | May 7, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 398 | $0.940 | $374.12 | May 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 247.76 | $0.958 | $237.35 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 699 | $0.840 | $587.16 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.966 | $1.97K | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.920 | $1.1K | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No | buy | 6.29K | $0.984 | $6.19K | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 426.25 | $0.992 | $422.84 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.997 | $997 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 1.26K | $0.096 | $121.69 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 455.39 | $0.880 | $400.74 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 616.97 | $0.920 | $567.61 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 298 | $0.850 | $253.3 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.920 | $1.47K | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | buy | 1.46K | $0.940 | $1.37K | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 472.89 | $0.989 | $467.69 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.99K | $0.992 | $1.97K | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.31K | $0.998 | $1.31K | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 447.02 | $0.987 | $441.21 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 115.25 | $0.890 | $102.57 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 148 | $0.470 | $69.56 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 975 | $0.970 | $945.75 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | buy | 101.72 | $0.849 | $86.36 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | buy | 308.78 | $0.843 | $260.39 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.849 | $12.74 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.848 | $89.04 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | buy | 114.71 | $0.849 | $97.39 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | buy | 135.76 | $0.038 | $5.16 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.850 | $9.35 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | buy | 81.33 | $0.849 | $69.05 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 2.15K | $0.870 | $1.87K | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No | sell | 1.72K | $0.998 | $1.71K | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 708.19 | $0.870 | $616.13 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 4.59K | $0.997 | $4.58K | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.893 | $8.93 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No | sell | 742.42 | $0.999 | $741.68 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | sell | 159 | $0.420 | $66.78 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 683.73 | $0.996 | $681 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.890 | $1.55K | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | sell | 1.55K | $0.999 | $1.55K | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 726.18 | $0.986 | $716.01 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 94.38 | $0.981 | $92.59 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 1.55K | $0.998 | $1.55K | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 35.48 | $0.880 | $31.22 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.66 | $0.976 | $40.66 | Mar 5, 2026 |