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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 81.78 | $0.244 | $6.95 | -$13.05 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.09 | $0.208 | $5 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 79.41 |
| $0.126 |
| $5.96 |
| -$4.04 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 38.51 | $0.260 | $5.58 | -$4.42 |
 Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 38.67 | $0.129 | $1.62 | -$3.38 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.080 | $1.09 | -$3.91 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Yes | 74.18 | $0.135 | $0.04 | -$9.96 |
| buy |
| 19.23 |
| $0.260 |
| $5 |
| 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | 4d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 10.04 | $0.460 | $4.62 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 3.11 | $0.360 | $1.12 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.190 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 38.67 | $0.129 | $5 | 13d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.050 | $1.92 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.17 | $0.079 | $5 | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.067 | $5 | 14d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 22.9 | $0.140 | $3.21 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | 15d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.56 | $0.046 | $0.03 | 16d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 74.08 | $0.046 | $3.42 | 16d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 74.65 | $0.067 | $5 | 16d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | 16d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | 19d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 32.89 | $0.152 | $5 | 23d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 11.93 | $0.419 | $5 | 23d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 11.93 | $0.419 | $5 | 23d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.034 | $5 | 23d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | 26d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.6 | $0.290 | $2.49 | 27d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.55 | $0.300 | $1.37 | 27d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | 27d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.260 | $4.81 | 27d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.110 | $3.67 | 29d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | sell | 24.8 | $0.261 | $6.47 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | buy | 73.48 | $0.068 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.88 | $0.186 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.9 | $0.173 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.22 | $0.374 | $3.82 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.62 | $0.490 | $4.22 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.22 | $0.489 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |