Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.11K | $0.819 | $1.66K | -$61.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Over $30M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 60 | $0.998 | $59.88 | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2K |
| $0.782 |
| $1.36K |
| -$199.39 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 1.16K | $0.879 | $1.05K | +$29.61 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.2K | $0.845 | $1.01K | $0 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 884.57 | $0.813 | $787.27 | +$68.3 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 600.75 | $0.847 | $555.69 | +$46.63 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 600 | $0.812 | $494.7 | +$7.5 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.1K | $0.233 | $442 | -$49.36 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.141 | $166.2 | -$3 |
 Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.650 | $40 | -$25 |
| sell |
| 23.86 |
| $0.974 |
| $23.24 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.220 | $38.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 276.66 | $0.240 | $66.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 326.66 | $0.240 | $78.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.31 | $0.230 | $12.72 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.66 | $0.230 | $17.63 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 176.66 | $0.240 | $42.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 181.66 | $0.240 | $43.6 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 836.14 | $0.229 | $191.71 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 105 | $0.820 | $86.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 248.31 | $0.830 | $206.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.956 | $1.02K | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 17.76 | $0.520 | $9.24 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Is Earth flat?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.988 | $1.01 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsNo | buy | 270.45 | $0.469 | $126.91 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.910 | $910 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Megaquake by June 30?No | buy | 18.34 | $0.990 | $18.16 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Social Media" during resignation?Yes | buy | 17.08 | $0.970 | $16.57 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Defense" during resignation?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.950 | $7.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Defense" during resignation?Yes | buy | 16.66 | $0.940 | $15.66 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Defense" during resignation?Yes | buy | 9.98 | $0.920 | $9.18 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.920 | $460 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.770 | $1.39K | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57K | $0.140 | $500 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.432 | $500 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2K | $0.993 | $1.99K | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 120 | $0.987 | $118.42 | May 26, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.2K | $0.900 | $2.88K | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 297.35 | $0.996 | $296.16 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.927 | $463.5 | May 21, 2026 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 266.66 | $0.910 | $242.66 | May 18, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.928 | $928 | May 13, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 19.31 | $0.931 | $17.98 | May 10, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.910 | $227.5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 209.29 | $0.899 | $188.15 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 36.41 | $0.993 | $36.16 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 180.68 | $0.971 | $175.44 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 97.77 | $0.987 | $96.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.21K | $0.102 | $123.87 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 40.43 | $0.975 | $39.42 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 116.08 | $0.972 | $112.83 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 30 | $0.971 | $29.13 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 368.5 | $0.997 | $367.31 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.996 | $29.87 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 700 | $0.999 | $699.3 | Mar 30, 2026 |