Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1.9 | +$0.9 |
 US recession by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1.35 |
| $0.740 |
| $1.25 |
| +$0.25 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
 Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.03 | -$0.97 |
| buy |
| 1.35 |
| $0.740 |
| $1 |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 77.63 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.120 | $1.33 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |