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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump lower tariffs on Israel next?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Apr 8, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 9.62 |
| $0.520 |
| $5 |
| Apr 8, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 102.86 | $0.049 | $5 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 87.13 | $0.057 | $5 | Mar 15, 2025 |
DeepSeek banned in US before April?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.020 | $3 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Mar 15, 2025 |
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?No | buy | 208.6 | $0.024 | $5 | Mar 15, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.363 | $8.25 | Oct 16, 2024 |
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 10.55 | $0.474 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.8 | $0.463 | $5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 263 | $0.019 | $5 | Aug 15, 2024 |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.065 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
U.S. military action against Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Iran military response by Friday?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.790 | $8.06 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 27.85 | $0.524 | $14.59 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 52.04 | $0.543 | $28.26 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Fed rate cut by December 18?No | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Fed rate cut by November 7?No | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.062 | $5 | Aug 14, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.640 | $5.19 | Aug 12, 2024 |
Iran military response by Friday?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Aug 12, 2024 |
Will France win Gold in Women's Basketball?Yes | buy | 12.45 | $0.241 | $3 | Aug 11, 2024 |
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 17.61 | $0.284 | $5 | Aug 11, 2024 |
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Aug 7, 2024 |
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Aug 5, 2024 |
Iran military response by Monday?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Aug 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala announce VP pick by Aug 7?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.024 | $5 | Aug 5, 2024 |
Iran military response by Sunday?Yes | buy | 78.57 | $0.064 | $5 | Aug 5, 2024 |
Biden escorted back from podium after dropout speech?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Jul 24, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Jul 24, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 27.86 | $0.359 | $10 | Jul 24, 2024 |
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Another country wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.002 | $4 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Great Britain wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.003 | $5 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.073 | $0.37 | Jul 21, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jul 21, 2024 |