Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 57.14 | $0.070 | $4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 160 |
| $0.031 |
| $4.96 |
| Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.048 | $1.06 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.070 | $4.83 | May 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.050 | $25 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.060 | $18 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.015 | $4.5 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 341.41 | $0.386 | $131.78 | Sep 18, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.134 | $6.43 | Sep 17, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon Trump?Yes | sell | 635 | $0.046 | $29.21 | Sep 17, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Suspect registered D or R?Democrat | buy | 60 | $0.520 | $31.2 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?No | sell | 299.99 | $0.550 | $164.99 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.017 | $5.1 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?No | sell | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 213.99 | $0.530 | $113.41 | Sep 15, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | sell | 6 | $0.242 | $1.45 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 1.09K | $0.660 | $722.04 | Sep 15, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 51.66 | $0.670 | $34.61 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.670 | $335 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 8.99 | $0.690 | $6.2 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 75.34 | $0.660 | $49.72 | Sep 14, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 15 | $0.660 | $9.9 | Sep 14, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 310 | $0.760 | $235.6 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 540 | $0.660 | $356.4 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.66K | $0.340 | $904.4 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 533 | $0.760 | $405.08 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.29 | $0.290 | $5.59 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.290 | $476.71 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.750 | $1.13K | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 419 | $0.760 | $318.44 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.240 | $120 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.220 | $220 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 204 | $0.240 | $48.96 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 704 | $0.190 | $133.76 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 704 | $0.250 | $176 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.080 | $8.4 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.070 | $15.54 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 48.7 | $0.308 | $15 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 27.93 | $0.179 | $5 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 49 | $0.750 | $36.75 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 221 | $0.080 | $17.68 | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 60 | $0.750 | $45 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?No | sell | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 259.1 | $0.070 | $18.14 | Sep 11, 2024 |