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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?No | buy | 18.47 | $0.999 | $18.45 | Aug 9, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 24.5 |
| $0.998 |
| $24.45 |
| Aug 9, 2026 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 57.21 | $0.998 | $57.1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 115.12 | $0.999 | $115 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 100.8 | $0.999 | $100.7 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.999 | $111 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 12.74 | $0.997 | $12.7 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 57.66 | $0.999 | $57.6 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 21.8 | $0.996 | $21.71 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Other be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 15.27 | $0.982 | $15 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 15.14 | $0.991 | $15 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130K July 14–20?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $108K July 14–20?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?No | buy | 38.08 | $0.998 | $38 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?No | buy | 15.03 | $0.998 | $15 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?No | buy | 22.95 | $0.998 | $22.9 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?No | buy | 113.23 | $0.998 | $113 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 46.0% on April 4?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 28 - April 4?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 90.36 | $0.996 | $90 | Apr 2, 2025 |
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.994 | $3 | Mar 17, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by March 31?No | buy | 90.45 | $0.995 | $90 | Mar 17, 2025 |
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in January 2025?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |