Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 3.03 |
| $0.330 |
| $1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.976 | $1.08 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on June 14?Down | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.909 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.915 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.088 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.004 | $0.2 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.068 | $3.4 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Steven Mnuchin for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Jay Clayton for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Jay Clayton for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.004 | $0.2 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Jay Clayton for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.004 | $0.2 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.342 | $3.42 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.005 | $0.2 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.003 | $0.36 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.004 | $0.32 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Democratic | buy | 30 | $0.007 | $0.21 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Joe Grogan for HHS Secretary?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.016 | $0.32 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate John Paulson for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.006 | $0.3 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Jamie Dimon for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.008 | $0.32 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.004 | $0.2 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Steven Mnuchin for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.005 | $0.25 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Mike Waltz for Secretary of State?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.002 | $0.3 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Vivek Ramaswamy for Secretary of State?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.037 | $0.37 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Elise Stefanik for Education Secretary?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.016 | $0.32 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.035 | $1.05 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.027 | $0.54 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No | buy | 15 | $0.040 | $0.6 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No | buy | 9.7 | $0.030 | $0.29 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.042 | $0.5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.048 | $0.5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.046 | $0.5 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in October?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.004 | $0.25 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in October?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.002 | $0.25 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in October?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.008 | $0.25 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk before November?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.011 | $0.2 | Oct 27, 2024 |
 Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities in October?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.017 | $0.25 | Oct 27, 2024 |