Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.41 | -$0.59 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Daniel RinconZsombor Piros | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.15 |
| $0.590 |
| $1.27 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
 ITF Buzau: Sofya Lansere vs Rositsa DenchevaSofya Lansere | buy | 11.05 | $0.181 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 106.66 | $0.006 | $0.64 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.500 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?No | sell | 7.38 | $0.400 | $2.95 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.418 | $4.18 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.110 | $0.41 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.750 | $0.25 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.030 | $0.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 20.07 | $0.026 | $0.52 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.012 | $0.57 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.041 | $0.93 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be in the Burnham cabinet?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.970 | $0.98 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.949 | $0.99 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.127 | $1.27 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?Yes | sell | 4.17 | $0.048 | $0.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?Yes | sell | 2.75 | $0.039 | $0.11 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.680 | $1.15 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.056 | $0.28 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.044 | $0.22 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.991 | $4.96 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.68 | $0.635 | $1.07 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.9 | $0.128 | $1.65 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.053 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.925 | $1.17 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.129 | $0.65 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?No | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes | sell | 7.73 | $0.710 | $5.49 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.25 | $0.640 | $4.64 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 7.12 | $0.810 | $5.77 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.981 | $1.01 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.988 | $1.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.790 | $1.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.880 | $1.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.958 | $1.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.550 | $1.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.988 | $1.06 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.988 | $1.07 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.914 | $1.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.840 | $1.08 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.830 | $1.12 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.710 | $1.12 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.977 | $1.16 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |