Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.950 | $0.04 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 357.14 |
| $0.042 |
| $15 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 146.75 | $0.068 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 135.13 | $0.070 | $9.46 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 276.8 | $0.043 | $11.9 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETDown | buy | 4.94 | $0.200 | $0.99 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.002 | $0.67 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | buy | 7.64 | $0.130 | $0.99 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 62.49 | $0.016 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown | buy | 8.9 | $0.112 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.560 | $0.62 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.050 | $0.77 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.010 | $1.25 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp | buy | 19.98 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp | buy | 5.82 | $0.170 | $0.99 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp | buy | 3.38 | $0.290 | $0.98 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 4.1 | $0.240 | $0.98 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.271 | $1.36 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?No | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.580 | $1.74 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp | buy | 9.05 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp | buy | 9.96 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp | buy | 4.7 | $0.210 | $0.99 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETDown | sell | 8.23 | $0.990 | $8.15 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETDown | buy | 8.22 | $0.070 | $0.58 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp | sell | 2.99 | $0.450 | $1.35 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp | buy | 2.96 | $0.330 | $0.98 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 37.72 | $0.028 | $1.06 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | sell | 38.03 | $0.448 | $17.02 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 6.61 | $0.150 | $0.99 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 31.21 | $0.190 | $5.93 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETUp | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETUp | sell | 42.74 | $0.380 | $16.24 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETUp | buy | 42.63 | $0.117 | $4.97 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp | sell | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp | sell | 21.78 | $0.990 | $21.56 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp | buy | 21.78 | $0.046 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will John Oliver say "Government" 3+ times on Last Week Tonight?No | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Feb 17, 2026 |