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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.450 | $4.41 | Jan 18, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.560 |
| $28 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | sell | 170 | $0.540 | $91.8 | Jan 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 211.58 | $0.400 | $84.63 | Jan 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.190 | $4.75 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.480 | $72 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.600 | $90 | Jan 12, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.974 | $97.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Jan 10, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.480 | $96 | Jan 10, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | Jan 10, 2026 |