Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | No | 3.31 | $0.960 | $3.18 | -$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?No | buy | 3.31 | $0.960 | $3.18 | 1d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 3.43 |
| $0.971 |
| $3.33 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.44 | $0.960 | $3.3 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.980 | $2.97 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.989 | $1.23 | May 19, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | sell | 2.07 | $0.987 | $2.04 | May 19, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.985 | $2.04 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No | buy | 3.36 | $0.995 | $3.34 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?No | sell | 3.42 | $0.976 | $3.34 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?No | buy | 3.42 | $0.997 | $3.41 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Justin Tucker sign with an NFL team this year?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.998 | $3.4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?No | sell | 3.61 | $0.944 | $3.41 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.975 | $3.52 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.995 | $3.5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close at <$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.990 | $3.46 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?No | sell | 3.52 | $0.985 | $3.47 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.974 | $3.43 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 25?No | buy | 3.42 | $0.990 | $3.39 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 3.48 | $0.975 | $3.39 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 3.48 | $0.974 | $3.39 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Megaquake by November 30?No | sell | 3.53 | $0.961 | $3.39 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Megaquake by November 30?No | buy | 3.54 | $0.950 | $3.36 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 3.35 | $0.990 | $3.32 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Together (BeÎ) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No | sell | 3.38 | $0.982 | $3.32 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Together (BeÎ) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?No | buy | 3.38 | $0.994 | $3.36 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Megaquake in February?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.972 | $1.23 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by January 31?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.909 | $3.69 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 2024 December hottest on record?No | buy | 5.86 | $0.995 | $5.83 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.978 | $1.2 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.973 | $1.25 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 0.51 | $0.988 | $0.5 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign in November?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.991 | $15.49 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign in November?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.991 | $1.36 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.974 | $1.27 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 18.12K | $0.001 | $18.12 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win Hawaii by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 18.12K | $0.001 | $18.12 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.980 | $2.43 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.998 | $2.02 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.989 | $2.08 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Farcaster airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.955 | $2.17 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.995 | $2.03 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 17.24K | $0.001 | $17.24 | Nov 4, 2024 |