Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 494.28 | $0.140 | $106.27 | +$37.07 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 2?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 60 |
| $0.590 |
| $51.3 |
| +$15.9 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 250 | $0.190 | $45 | -$2.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 485.65 | $0.106 | $31.57 | -$20.07 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.166 | $14.5 | -$2.1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 65 | $0.249 | $13.33 | -$2.87 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | Yes | 240 | $0.079 | $13.08 | -$5.92 |
 Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 5K | $0.001 | $7.5 | +$2.5 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.760 | $7.3 | -$0.3 |
 Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 325.56 | $0.009 | $0.49 | -$2.44 |
| sell |
| 180 |
| $0.100 |
| $18 |
| 8d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.360 | $2.16 | 8d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 2?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | 8d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 2?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | 8d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 2?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 8d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 2?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 8d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 2?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | 8d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 2?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 8d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | 8d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | sell | 33.95 | $0.121 | $4.12 | 8d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.031 | $2.48 | 8d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 85.99 | $0.024 | $2.06 | 8d ago |
 US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.034 | $1.73 | 8d ago |
 Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | 8d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.800 | $4.8 | 8d ago |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.015 | $0.71 | 8d ago |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.012 | $0.06 | 8d ago |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.034 | $2.55 | 8d ago |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.035 | $1.05 | 8d ago |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.036 | $1.01 | 8d ago |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | 8d ago |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.041 | $1.48 | 8d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | 9d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.120 | $21.6 | 9d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.131 | $6.55 | 10d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.031 | $1.86 | 12d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.031 | $0.81 | 12d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.047 | $3.76 | 12d ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.183 | $9.15 | 12d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.160 | $40 | 12d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 554.67 | $0.050 | $27.73 | 12d ago |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.048 | $11.04 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.590 | $35.4 | 15d ago |
| Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.037 | $3.34 | 18d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 24.2 | $0.870 | $21.05 | 22d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | 22d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 25.8 | $0.892 | $23.02 | 22d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | 22d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | 25d ago |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | 25d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | buy | 33.95 | $0.170 | $5.77 | 28d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.080 | $7.2 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | 29d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.760 | $22.8 | 29d ago |
 Will Rodri join Barcelona?No | sell | 100 | $0.101 | $10.1 | Aug 9, 2026 |