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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 621.02 | $0.534 | $276.35 | -$55.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 98.59 | $0.710 | $70 | 1d ago |
| No |
| 489.3 |
| $0.451 |
| $271.56 |
| +$50.71 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 373 | $0.375 | $187.43 | +$47.43 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 331.7 | $0.446 | $174.15 | +$26.37 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 218.8 | $0.640 | $154.26 | +$14.26 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 200.04 | $0.700 | $149.03 | +$9.03 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 143.57 | $0.836 | $125.63 | +$5.63 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 107.69 | $0.650 | $86.69 | +$16.69 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 87.94 | $0.796 | $81.65 | +$11.65 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 90.92 | $0.764 | $77.74 | +$8.27 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 104.48 | $0.670 | $75.75 | +$5.75 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 112.85 | $0.620 | $73.18 | +$3.18 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 84.34 | $0.830 | $72.95 | +$2.95 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 83.33 | $0.840 | $72.08 | +$2.08 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 82.35 | $0.850 | $72.06 | +$2.06 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 107.69 | $0.650 | $70.54 | +$0.54 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 81.4 | $0.860 | $69.59 | -$0.41 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 106.38 | $0.470 | $55.85 | +$5.85 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 95.89 | $0.730 | $55.52 | -$14.48 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 350.05 | $0.200 | $50.76 | -$19.26 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 97.23 | $0.739 | $46.18 | -$25.71 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 76.57 | $0.653 | $38.09 | -$11.91 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No| buy |
| 81.4 |
| $0.860 |
| $70 |
| 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 83.32 | $0.950 | $79.15 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.490 | $70 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 137.25 | $0.510 | $70 | 2d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.490 | $68.6 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.840 | $70 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.500 | $70 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 82.35 | $0.850 | $70 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 125 | $0.560 | $70 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 118.64 | $0.590 | $70 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 137.25 | $0.510 | $70 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.460 | $64.4 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 106.06 | $0.400 | $42.42 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 155.55 | $0.590 | $91.77 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 102.94 | $0.390 | $40.15 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 102.94 | $0.370 | $38.09 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 101.44 | $0.390 | $39.56 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 142.85 | $0.590 | $84.28 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 175 | $0.420 | $73.5 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.400 | $70 | 8d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 101.45 | $0.690 | $70 | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.490 | $70 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.500 | $70 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 152.17 | $0.460 | $70 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.560 | $70 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 155.56 | $0.450 | $70 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 106.06 | $0.570 | $60.45 | 12d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 92.1 | $0.560 | $51.58 | 12d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.840 | $70 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.89 | $0.730 | $70 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 107.69 | $0.650 | $70 | 13d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 35.93 | $0.920 | $33.06 | 14d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | sell | 95.89 | $0.860 | $82.47 | 14d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 58.14 | $0.961 | $55.87 | 14d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 86.54 | $0.982 | $84.98 | 14d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | sell | 87.5 | $0.982 | $85.93 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 331.42 | $0.996 | $330.09 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 106.06 | $0.660 | $70 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 106.06 | $0.660 | $70 | 15d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 102.94 | $0.680 | $70 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 102.94 | $0.680 | $70 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 212.12 | $0.330 | $70 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 101.45 | $0.690 | $70 | 17d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 87.5 | $0.800 | $70 | 19d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 97.22 | $0.720 | $70 | 21d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 97.22 | $0.720 | $70 | 22d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | sell | 159.07 | $0.987 | $157.08 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 92.11 | $0.760 | $70 | 22d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 107.69 | $0.650 | $70 | 23d ago |