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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 34.23 | $0.540 | $18.48 | Dec 26, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 22.72 |
| $0.963 |
| $21.88 |
| Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 32.25 | $0.985 | $31.77 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No | sell | 53.84 | $0.713 | $38.4 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.980 | $44.54 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No | sell | 52.78 | $0.967 | $51.05 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.780 | $55.71 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 63.17 | $0.929 | $58.68 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 82.13 | $0.827 | $67.88 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 120.02 | $0.870 | $104.42 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 131.39 | $0.972 | $127.77 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 325.44 | $0.991 | $322.4 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 2.09K | $0.992 | $2.07K | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 99.75 | $0.840 | $83.79 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 63.17 | $0.791 | $50 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 31.65 | $0.790 | $25 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 33.44 | $0.912 | $30.51 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 59.64 | $0.979 | $58.4 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 84.74 | $0.540 | $45.76 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 82.13 | $0.819 | $67.3 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.984 | $70.27 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.475 | $7.54 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 101.72 | $0.930 | $94.6 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.590 | $25 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.590 | $25 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?Yes | buy | 8.9 | $0.562 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No | buy | 53.85 | $0.650 | $35 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.700 | $50 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?No | sell | 66.05 | $0.924 | $61.03 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | sell | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Democratic sweep?Yes | sell | 16.34 | $0.999 | $16.32 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 121.35 | $0.999 | $121.23 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 120.02 | $0.840 | $100.82 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 59.78 | $0.920 | $55 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?No | buy | 52.78 | $0.379 | $20 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Democratic sweep?Yes | buy | 16.35 | $0.830 | $13.57 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 33.44 | $0.927 | $31 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.086 | $1 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.770 | $35 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.144 | $3 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 36.76 | $0.987 | $36.28 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Oct 26, 2025 |