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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 15.86 | $0.996 | $15.79 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.86 | $0.996 | $15.8 | 3d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 15.84 |
| $0.998 |
| $15.81 |
| 3d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.85 | $0.997 | $15.8 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.82 | $0.999 | $15.8 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15?Yes | buy | 68.84 | $0.998 | $68.7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?No | buy | 68.67 | $0.999 | $68.6 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 68.67 | $0.999 | $68.6 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?No | buy | 68.57 | $0.999 | $68.5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.002 | $2.16 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?No | buy | 70.86 | $0.999 | $70.79 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 70.77 | $0.999 | $70.7 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 70.67 | $0.999 | $70.6 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 70.07 | $0.999 | $70 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 70.57 | $0.999 | $70.5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?No | buy | 70.53 | $0.999 | $70.46 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?No | buy | 70.46 | $0.999 | $70.39 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 70.39 | $0.999 | $70.32 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 7?No | buy | 70.33 | $0.999 | $70.26 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 70.27 | $0.999 | $70.2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 30?No | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?No | buy | 71.59 | $0.999 | $71.52 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?No | buy | 71.52 | $0.998 | $71.38 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 9?No | buy | 71.38 | $0.995 | $71.02 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 3?No | buy | 71.02 | $0.999 | $70.95 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 1?No | buy | 70.95 | $0.999 | $70.88 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 69.74 | $0.999 | $69.67 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 31?No | buy | 71.04 | $0.999 | $70.97 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Maple Leafs vs. KrakenMaple Leafs | buy | 40 | $0.520 | $20.8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.999 | $1.17 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 94.09 | $0.999 | $94 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $160 on January 2?No | buy | 94.25 | $0.999 | $94.16 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?No | buy | 90.44 | $0.999 | $90.35 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on December 20?No | buy | 90.35 | $0.999 | $90.26 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.996 | $1.31 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.998 | $1.21 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.994 | $1.18 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 12?Yes | buy | 35.11 | $0.997 | $35 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | buy | 55.11 | $0.998 | $55 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 11?No | buy | 675 | $0.002 | $1.35 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 24.05 | $0.998 | $24 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 26?No | buy | 22.04 | $0.998 | $22 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in November 2025?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on November 17?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.998 | $1.14 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 21.21 | $0.999 | $21.19 | Nov 6, 2025 |