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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | No | 10.86 | $0.921 | $10.83 | +$0.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
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| No |
| 10.43 |
| $0.863 |
| $10.38 |
| +$1.38 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 7.31 | $0.957 | $7.18 | +$0.18 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 6.7 | $0.896 | $6.43 | +$0.43 |
| buy |
| 12.74 |
| $0.942 |
| $12 |
| May 25, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.929 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.966 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 10.86 | $0.921 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 8.64 | $0.810 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.47 | $0.950 | $9 | May 25, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.863 | $9 | May 25, 2026 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 8.89 | $0.900 | $8 | May 25, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 10.84 | $0.830 | $9 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 21.35 | $0.987 | $21.07 | May 25, 2026 |
Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group APower Rangers | buy | 6.52 | $0.920 | $6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs ZennIT Orange GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group StageZennIT Orange GC | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | Apr 29, 2026 |
LoL: VfB eSports vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BEintracht Spandau | buy | 15.25 | $0.983 | $15 | Apr 29, 2026 |
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonTeam Heretics Academy | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsG2 Esports | buy | 6.52 | $0.920 | $6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSharks | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group AVitality | buy | 16.21 | $0.987 | $16 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 37.95 | $0.976 | $37.04 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Seoul have between 45-50mm of precipitation in April?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.980 | $1.68 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in April?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.980 | $6 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 1?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 1 be greater than 2,800,000?No | buy | 12.64 | $0.970 | $12.26 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 7.31 | $0.957 | $7 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 12.22 | $0.900 | $11 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 6.7 | $0.896 | $6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 24, 2026?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.910 | $8 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 59.3 | $0.978 | $58 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.57 | $0.940 | $9 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 15.18 | $0.988 | $15 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 10.47 | $0.955 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.960 | $16 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?No | buy | 24.02 | $0.999 | $24 | Dec 6, 2025 |
US bank failure by October 31?No | buy | 64.82 | $0.993 | $64.37 | Oct 31, 2025 |
2025 September hottest on record?No | buy | 43.04 | $0.999 | $43 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by September 30?No | buy | 21.26 | $0.988 | $21 | Sep 20, 2025 |
OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 14.58 | $0.960 | $14 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will "A Big Bold Beautiful Journey" gross 150% or more of "The Senior"?No | buy | 7.27 | $0.963 | $7 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or below on September 21?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?No | buy | 23.01 | $0.956 | $22 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will Trump's UN speech be less than 20 minutes?No | buy | 31.89 | $0.972 | $31 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.952 | $7 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | Aug 5, 2025 |
India x Pakistan military clash by Friday?Yes | sell | 86.8 | $0.067 | $5.85 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will a dozen eggs be below $3.25 in July?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.970 | $4 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?No | buy | 1.81K | $0.999 | $1.81K | Jul 30, 2025 |