Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 272.22 | $0.180 | $49 | Jan 29, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 57.14 |
| $0.140 |
| $8 |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 130 | $0.097 | $12.61 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Million" "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?No | buy | 80 | $0.130 | $10.4 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 80 | $0.180 | $14.4 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 40 | $0.196 | $7.84 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.018 | $1.26 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 800 or more times March 7-14?Yes | buy | 14.37 | $0.016 | $0.23 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 7-14?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.043 | $0.86 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 7-14?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Mar 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 700-724 times March 7-14?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.045 | $1.35 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'retard' or 'retarded' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.014 | $1.12 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 34-35°F on March 3?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'Epstein' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.051 | $1.02 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will X remove Community Notes before April?Yes | buy | 55.26 | $0.018 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.039 | $3.12 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.019 | $2.28 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 900-949 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $1.04 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.080 | $1.28 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 46-47°F on February 24?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 46-47°F on February 24?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.310 | $4.03 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on February 24?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.440 | $3.96 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on February 24?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 21-28?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.012 | $0.96 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 21-28?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.013 | $1.03 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 21-28?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.058 | $3.48 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 21-28?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.024 | $3.36 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 21-28?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.010 | $0.19 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 450-499 times Feb 21-28?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.006 | $0.8 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.012 | $16.46 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 2.78K | $0.011 | $30 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.028 | $28.24 | Feb 23, 2025 |