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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? | No | 2.82 | $0.710 | $1.8 | -$0.2 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.987 | $1.03 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.12 |
| $0.890 |
| $1.08 |
| +$0.08 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| sell |
| 1.05 |
| $0.960 |
| $1.01 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No | sell | 20 | $0.994 | $19.88 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 21?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.981 | $1.84 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.981 | $1.72 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.001 | $0.14 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.007 | $0.44 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.980 | $1.11 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Peter Attia out by February 15?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.986 | $1.18 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.979 | $2.38 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Martin Nowak out as Harvard professor by February 28?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Kanye tweet again by February 28?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by February 28?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Drobysheve by February 28?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |