Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 156.56 | $0.443 | $144.81 | +$75.42 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.823 | $4.12 | Feb 23, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 160.03 |
| $0.586 |
| $27.21 |
| -$66.53 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.823 | $4.27 | +$0.16 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.410 |
| $2.05 |
| Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | sell | 6 | $0.410 | $2.46 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 6 | $0.620 | $3.72 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 94.56 | $0.446 | $42.15 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 98 | $0.590 | $57.82 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 73 | $0.440 | $32.12 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 73.03 | $0.580 | $42.36 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 93.4 | $0.003 | $0.28 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 93.4 | $0.039 | $3.64 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.038 | $19 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 198.87 | $0.918 | $182.56 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.210 | $63 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.210 | $42 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 California redistricting referendum passes?Yes | buy | 53.58 | $0.965 | $51.7 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| California redistricting referendum passes?Yes | buy | 127.98 | $0.960 | $122.86 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.660 | $73.26 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.020 | $2.22 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 111.2 | $0.270 | $30.02 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Cuomo x Mamdani not debate before election?No | buy | 273 | $0.886 | $241.93 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $118K on August 18?Yes | buy | 2.07K | $0.439 | $909.68 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.070 | $17.5 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.920 | $230 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 405 | $0.018 | $7.29 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 405 | $0.970 | $392.65 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.080 | $3.84 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.811 | $38.94 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.089 | $62.13 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.820 | $574 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.011 | $4.37 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 23?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.590 | $628.35 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by 0–6%?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.200 | $210 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by 6–12%?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.150 | $157.5 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by 12–18%?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.100 | $105 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by over 18%?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.060 | $63 | May 15, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 23.75 | $0.994 | $23.61 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.779 | $794.43 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.053 | $53.84 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.140 | $142.8 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90000 on April 4?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.197 | $198.7 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90000 and $88000 on April 4?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.180 | $181.98 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88000 and $86000 on April 4?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.230 | $232.53 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?No | buy | 749.99 | $0.390 | $292.5 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Kanye have no token before AprilYes | buy | 823.95 | $0.850 | $700.36 | Mar 13, 2025 |