Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 257.22 | $0.140 | $32.54 | -$3.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 225.49 | $0.110 | $24.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 204.55 |
| $0.220 |
| $27.61 |
| -$17.39 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 37.74 | $0.530 | $18.3 | -$1.7 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17.92 | $0.279 | $8.89 | +$3.89 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 50 | $0.200 | $6.75 | -$3.25 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 42.18 | $0.237 | $6.54 | -$3.46 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.260 | $5.19 | -$4.81 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 27.27 | $0.330 | $4.43 | -$4.57 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 345.29 | $0.017 | $3.63 | -$2.24 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 41.24 | $0.485 | $2.97 | -$17.03 |
 Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.048 | $0.86 | -$0.14 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 425 | $0.009 | $0.64 | -$3.36 |
 Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
| buy |
| 125 |
| $0.008 |
| $1 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.032 | $0.67 | May 31, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.003 | $0.02 | May 30, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.85 | $0.010 | $0.38 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?Yes | sell | 60.88 | $0.001 | $0.06 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.112 | $9.37 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 41.24 | $0.485 | $20 | May 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?Yes | buy | 117.45 | $0.043 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?No | buy | 17.38 | $0.173 | $3 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.216 | $2 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 17.92 | $0.279 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Yes | sell | 2.49 | $0.873 | $2.17 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 227.65 | $0.017 | $3.87 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.390 | $6.72 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 27.27 | $0.330 | $9 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will VOX (VOX) win 22 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?Yes | sell | 12.42 | $0.001 | $0.01 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.986 | $8.96 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.015 | $0.47 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?Yes | buy | 45.81 | $0.128 | $5.88 | May 21, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 116.27 | $0.053 | $6.16 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?Yes | buy | 93.33 | $0.150 | $14 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?Yes | sell | 161 | $0.001 | $0.16 | May 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
 Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.086 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Yes | sell | 3.82 | $0.340 | $1.3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Yes | sell | 58.65 | $0.340 | $19.94 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 139.86 | $0.143 | $20 | May 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 64.02 | $0.945 | $60.5 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes | buy | 70.66 | $0.028 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.65 | $0.054 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |