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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?No | sell | 125 | $0.860 | $107.5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 160.76 |
| $0.750 |
| $120.57 |
| Nov 21, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 107.52 | $0.900 | $96.77 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 160.77 | $0.470 | $75.56 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 170.96 | $0.210 | $35.9 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 695.79 | $0.057 | $39.66 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 170.97 | $0.304 | $52 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 609 | $0.050 | $30.45 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 86.79 | $0.050 | $4.34 | Sep 5, 2025 |
RFK Jr. Out by September 30?Yes | buy | 648.64 | $0.098 | $63.65 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 32.99 | $0.128 | $4.22 | Jul 22, 2024 |