Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.934 | $560.42 | May 25, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.900 |
| $180 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.757 | $378.7 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes | buy | 210.3 | $0.680 | $143 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.460 | $13.8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.720 | $4.64 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 147.21 | $0.140 | $20.61 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.547 | $546.74 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.774 | $773.72 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 149.99 | $0.102 | $15.35 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.150 | $45 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.510 | $107.1 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.613 | $122.61 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.450 | $54 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.680 | $340 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 177.32 | $0.370 | $65.61 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 246.91 | $0.870 | $214.81 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Grok 5 released by December 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.021 | $6.18 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Bryan Johnson say "Blood Boy" while tripping balls?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 29.05 | $0.920 | $26.73 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 937.69 | $0.970 | $909.13 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 700 | $0.880 | $616 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Across win 2025 Uniswap Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.670 | $20.1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Across win 2025 Uniswap Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.689 | $13.78 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will ENS win 2025 Uniswap Cup?No | buy | 20 | $0.991 | $19.82 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Espacio Cripto win 2025 Uniswap Cup?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will OpenZeppelin win 2025 Uniswap Cup?No | buy | 8.48 | $0.937 | $7.95 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Optimism win 2025 Uniswap Cup?No | buy | 20 | $0.924 | $18.48 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Uniswap Labs win 2025 Uniswap Cup?No | buy | 20 | $0.947 | $18.94 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Odisea win 2025 Uniswap Cup?No | buy | 20 | $0.906 | $18.12 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?No | sell | 150 | $0.970 | $145.5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 245.94 | $0.892 | $219.27 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 291.75 | $0.890 | $259.66 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.410 | $100 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 232.56 | $0.430 | $100 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Grok 5 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.570 | $17.1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 97.57 | $0.820 | $80.01 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?No | buy | 94.44 | $0.900 | $85 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 246.91 | $0.810 | $200 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on September 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4300 on September 3?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.55 | $0.870 | $23.1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.086 | $86 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 505.35 | $0.198 | $100 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Aug 27, 2025 |