Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 2.17 |
| $0.460 |
| $0.16 |
| -$0.84 |
| buy |
| 2.17 |
| $0.460 |
| $1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.521 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 9.14 | $0.480 | $4.39 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 6, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 5.57 | $0.280 | $1.56 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.330 | $1.37 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 103.09 | $0.002 | $0.21 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Bucks vs. PelicansBucks | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex Gazan territory before July?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 7.24 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.138 | $1 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win La Liga?Yes | sell | 4.08 | $0.520 | $2.12 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 21.9 | $0.137 | $3 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Megaquake in January?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.794 | $14.89 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 103.09 | $0.097 | $10 | Dec 20, 2024 |