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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | sell | 24.95 | $0.630 | $15.72 | Jul 31, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 2.26 |
| $0.010 |
| $0.02 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.64 | $0.900 | $7.78 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 43.56 | $0.930 | $40.51 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 55.69 | $0.630 | $35.08 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 43.14 | $0.920 | $39.69 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 220.07 | $0.006 | $1.24 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 10.01 | $0.600 | $6.01 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.85 | $0.180 | $0.15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.438 | $26.27 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 5.41 | $0.963 | $5.21 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $60B?No | sell | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 18.79 | $0.922 | $17.33 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 15.69 | $0.700 | $10.98 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No | sell | 12.37 | $0.780 | $9.65 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No | sell | 30 | $0.430 | $12.9 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 47.59 | $0.550 | $26.17 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No | sell | 19.68 | $0.991 | $19.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | sell | 60.02 | $0.360 | $21.61 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | sell | 50.36 | $0.992 | $49.96 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Trump out as President by July 31?No | sell | 50.31 | $0.996 | $50.11 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 138.89 | $0.378 | $52.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 86.35 | $0.660 | $56.99 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 74.23 | $0.720 | $53.45 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?No | sell | 57.48 | $0.850 | $48.86 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 55.56 | $0.890 | $49.45 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 148.63 | $0.292 | $43.35 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 55.56 | $0.920 | $51.12 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 67.29 | $0.830 | $55.85 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 33.39 | $0.880 | $29.38 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 32.61 | $0.953 | $31.09 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?No | sell | 40 | $0.870 | $34.8 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 74.74 | $0.590 | $44.1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | sell | 50.5 | $0.770 | $38.89 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 60.98 | $0.900 | $54.88 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 80.01 | $0.990 | $79.22 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.994 | $59.64 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 228.01 | $0.274 | $62.56 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 63 | $0.983 | $61.93 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?No | sell | 79.75 | $0.965 | $76.99 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 73.14 | $0.845 | $61.82 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | sell | 128.49 | $0.580 | $74.52 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | sell | 113.83 | $0.968 | $110.19 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No | sell | 101 | $0.846 | $85.45 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 108.68 | $0.840 | $91.29 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 101.82 | $0.954 | $97.14 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by July 31?No | sell | 156.72 | $0.944 | $147.98 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | sell | 188.81 | $0.581 | $109.76 | Jul 23, 2026 |