Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 21.6K | $0.366 | $5.51K | -$2.41K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.920 | $2.69 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 4.69K |
| $0.821 |
| $4.01K |
| +$158.77 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.920 | $1.94K | +$99 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.560 | $277.5 | -$562.5 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 266.89 | $0.841 | $246.87 | +$22.35 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 148.02 | $0.870 | $139.14 | +$10.36 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 190.87 | $0.630 | $128.84 | +$8.62 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 115.78 | $0.931 | $113.75 | +$6 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 101.4 | $0.470 | $94.81 | +$47.15 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 78.6 | $0.760 | $74.28 | +$14.54 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 357.14 | $0.290 | $51.79 | -$51.73 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 216.6 | $0.459 | $31.41 | -$68.09 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 36.98 | $0.540 | $29.21 | +$9.25 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 20.01 | $0.960 | $19.3 | +$0.09 |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 19.72 | $0.980 | $19.22 | -$0.11 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 84.94 | $0.699 | $10.62 | -$48.74 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 2.92 | $0.920 | $2.73 | +$0.04 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 3.24 | $0.670 | $0.73 | -$1.44 |
 Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 22.25 | $0.080 | $0.56 | -$1.22 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.43 | $0.450 | $0.06 | -$0.13 |
| buy |
| 1.31 |
| $0.956 |
| $1.25 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.958 | $2.08 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.630 | $315 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 600 | $0.951 | $570.53 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.930 | $1.49K | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 4.77 | $0.930 | $4.44 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.18 | $0.451 | $12.26 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 105.02 | $0.803 | $84.33 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 708.93 | $0.200 | $141.79 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 84.94 | $0.699 | $59.36 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 123.37 | $0.540 | $66.62 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 80.7 | $0.540 | $43.58 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.540 | $84.38 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 59.48 | $0.920 | $54.72 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 46.24 | $0.920 | $42.54 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.31 | $0.640 | $4.04 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?No | buy | 17.6 | $0.910 | $16.02 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 281.44 | $0.620 | $174.49 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.620 | $1.1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.69 | $0.620 | $2.29 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 58.06 | $0.620 | $36 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.620 | $3.51 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 222.68 | $0.620 | $138.06 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.63 | $0.620 | $2.25 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.620 | $1.33 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.31 | $0.426 | $6.95 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 231.09 | $0.608 | $140.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 52.04 | $0.880 | $45.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 500 | $0.880 | $440 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.870 | $2.03 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.35 | $0.570 | $11.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.93 | $0.320 | $5.74 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.01 | $0.850 | $24.66 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.670 | $1.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.63 | $0.080 | $1.01 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 199.21 | $0.076 | $15.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.22 | $0.077 | $7.64 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | buy | 20.73 | $0.670 | $13.89 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | buy | 90.84 | $0.670 | $60.86 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.970 | $1.18 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.09 | $0.960 | $13.53 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.960 | $1.06 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes | buy | 46.1 | $0.965 | $44.49 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.924 | $1.02 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.150 | $1.56 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No | buy | 9.27 | $0.177 | $1.64 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.849 | $4.25 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes | buy | 20.33 | $0.539 | $10.96 | Jun 17, 2026 |