Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 34.88 | $0.860 | $32.62 | +$2.62 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jun 16, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 179.64 |
| $0.167 |
| $12.84 |
| -$17.16 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 30.61 | $0.490 | $6.12 | -$8.88 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.190 |
| $5.7 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.060 | $15.11 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes | buy | 14.01 | $0.286 | $4.01 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | sell | 50 | $0.370 | $18.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | sell | 40 | $0.370 | $14.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | sell | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | sell | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.650 | $46.42 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.984 | $29.52 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.080 | $24 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 142.18 | $0.197 | $28.01 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.490 | $15 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 34.88 | $0.860 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp | buy | 499.98 | $0.010 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 51.05 | $0.570 | $29.1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 42.48 | $0.690 | $29.31 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.110 | $33 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.962 | $28.86 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.420 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.160 | $60 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.612 | $6.12 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.995 | $34.83 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?No | buy | 48.39 | $0.620 | $30 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 7?No | buy | 32.05 | $0.936 | $30 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 142.18 | $0.211 | $30 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 179.64 | $0.167 | $30 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 31.85 | $0.942 | $30 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes | buy | 32.49 | $0.923 | $30 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?No | sell | 35 | $0.999 | $34.97 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 5?No | buy | 40 | $0.820 | $32.8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.552 | $22.07 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.890 | $31.15 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?No | buy | 35 | $0.880 | $30.8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.996 | $19.92 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.969 | $19.38 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Mar 3, 2026 |