Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 85.31 | $0.957 | $81.85 | +$0.21 |
 Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 85.31 | $0.957 | $81.64 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.994 |
| $19.88 |
| $0 |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.960 | $9.69 | +$0.09 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.960 |
| $9.6 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.952 | $28.56 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.994 | $19.88 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | sell | 0.28 | $0.968 | $0.27 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | sell | 17 | $0.976 | $16.59 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 66.38 | $0.952 | $63.19 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.995 | $19.9 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 17 | $0.953 | $16.2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.228 | $2.28 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.165 | $1.65 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?No | buy | 20 | $0.981 | $19.62 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $285 in July?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.910 | $136.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.870 | $130.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No | buy | 134 | $0.994 | $133.2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.280 | $2.24 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.983 | $98.3 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | sell | 100.47 | $0.981 | $98.56 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 100.47 | $0.962 | $96.65 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.968 | $5.56 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | sell | 53 | $0.974 | $51.62 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | buy | 112.39 | $0.969 | $108.91 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 111.13 | $0.980 | $108.91 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 111.13 | $0.978 | $108.69 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | sell | 27 | $0.990 | $26.73 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.488 | $33.18 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Google dip to $240 in March?No | sell | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Google dip to $240 in March?No | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.489 | $33.25 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No | buy | 27 | $0.991 | $26.76 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle over $3,600 on the final trading day of February 2026?Yes | buy | 108.92 | $0.997 | $108.59 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 60 | $0.964 | $57.84 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 60 | $0.967 | $58.02 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No | buy | 109.12 | $0.995 | $108.57 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 110.69 | $0.980 | $108.48 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?No | sell | 108.91 | $0.996 | $108.47 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 108.91 | $0.997 | $108.58 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No | sell | 109.57 | $0.991 | $108.58 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No | buy | 109.57 | $0.992 | $108.69 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on February 6?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on February 6?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.997 | $9.97 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 104.29 | $0.991 | $103.35 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 104.29 | $0.992 | $103.46 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 56.05 | $0.978 | $54.82 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 35.97 | $0.994 | $35.75 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 19.14 | $0.996 | $19.06 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 55.12 | $0.995 | $54.84 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No | sell | 55.23 | $0.993 | $54.84 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No | buy | 55.23 | $0.994 | $54.9 | Jan 9, 2026 |